Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.041870e-01 1.589600e-01 0.223495 0.302720 0.395263 0.498180 0.619646
2026-02-01 2.976251e-02 8.387456e-02 0.165092 0.280876 0.430947 0.610808 0.835685
2026-02-08 4.363775e-03 4.166598e-02 0.119837 0.248662 0.430038 0.659098 0.956216
2026-02-15 1.473777e-07 2.210901e-02 0.097124 0.238917 0.452101 0.731661 1.103417
2026-02-22 NaN 1.304744e-02 0.087168 0.244211 0.491726 0.824579 1.274311
2026-03-01 NaN 5.993723e-03 0.074608 0.241306 0.517294 0.897741 1.419627
2026-03-08 NaN 1.237435e-03 0.058190 0.226508 0.522226 0.941425 1.526058
2026-03-15 NaN 7.151685e-04 0.060846 0.249020 0.584724 1.063898 1.734842
2026-03-22 NaN 3.873877e-04 0.063794 0.272074 0.648265 1.188175 1.946542
2026-03-29 NaN 4.687128e-05 0.062237 0.284825 0.695251 1.289609 2.128726
2026-04-05 NaN 3.926460e-05 0.068603 0.315579 0.771651 1.432533 2.365904
2026-04-12 NaN 2.549459e-08 0.070281 0.335553 0.830653 1.551347 2.571795
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.064006 0.337626 0.862659 1.635811 2.737606
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047868 0.311839 0.847046 1.652647 2.814497
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.031739 0.278287 0.814352 1.642460 2.853296
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024737 0.267765 0.820288 1.687222 2.965055
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.022739 0.273437 0.855409 1.774990 3.135281
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018837 0.270335 0.873794 1.837719 3.271409
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012848 0.254577 0.867005 1.862073 3.354617
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.015235 0.278543 0.937103 2.002905 3.598445
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.017778 0.303026 1.008244 2.145454 3.844877
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.018022 0.316544 1.058283 2.256257 4.047861
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.022327 0.349085 1.145115 2.422824 4.327820